Thrifty-Shoelace
0x364f935ccafae7bb980616b81999239ed816562c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$16.10
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$-4.28
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- XLG GAMING
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs TEC Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Stage 2
11 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$10.63
$0.63
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
6 shares @ 80.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.47
$0.47
- NIKOLA BARTUNKOVA
Madrid Open, Qualification: Nikola Bartunkova vs Alina Charaeva
58202 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-58.20
- YES
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-18?
12083 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-66.99
- YES
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-18?
12006 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-14.99
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on October 13?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,200 on October 13?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets in December 2025?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 1AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMValorant: Team Secret vs Gen.G Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 1$10.31May 18, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: XLG Gaming vs TEC Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Stage 2$10.02May 18, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: Team Secret vs Gen.G Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 1$10.01May 18, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs$3.01May 18, 09:31 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2$5.56May 18, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2$3.03May 18, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2$5.01May 18, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Kyo-heung win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?$3.00May 18, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$3.01May 18, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hong Kong have between 190-200mm of precipitation in May?$5.00May 18, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$3.00May 18, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$3.00May 18, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$4.01May 18, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,400 in May?$5.00May 18, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$5.00May 18, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid dip to $32 in May?$5.01May 18, 04:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Syria security agreement by June 30?$4.00May 18, 04:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Citizens’ Movement (MC) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?$3.94May 18, 04:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$4.00May 18, 04:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 2.0% and 3.0%?$3.99May 18, 04:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $4.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 14:51 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 12:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".