Ambitious-Society
0x3659ffabb68afd623f933440f4c506ba9e780451
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
34
Open notional
$402.42
Total PnL
$129.70
Realised
$87.00
Win rate
68%
22 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
50000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$75.00
$25.00
- YES
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?
164 shares @ 22.0¢·now 24.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$39.33
$3.28
- YES
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?
600 shares @ 8.8¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$39.00
$-14.00
- YES
Will James Cleverly be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
25000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$37.50
$12.50
- YES
Will Boris Johnson be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
21158 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$31.74
$10.58
- YES
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?
200 shares @ 14.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$27.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ed Davey be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
16281 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$24.42
$8.14
- YES
Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?
231 shares @ 7.9¢·now 6.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.42
$-3.75
- YES
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?
56 shares @ 21.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.96
$0.28
- YES
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?
19 shares @ 58.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.57
$0.29
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Boris Johnson be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$0.42May 18, 06:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Robert Jenrick be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$0.40May 18, 05:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$0.43May 18, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$0.22May 18, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill David Lammy be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$0.70May 18, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$1.41May 18, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$2.26May 18, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Healey be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$0.00May 18, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$0.00May 18, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill David Lammy be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$0.00May 18, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bridget Phillipson be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$0.00May 18, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kemi Badenoch be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$0.00May 18, 03:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Robert Jenrick be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$0.00May 18, 02:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$0.01May 18, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bridget Phillipson be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$0.00May 18, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kemi Badenoch be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$0.00May 18, 01:15 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.67May 18, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Robert Jenrick be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$0.01May 18, 00:44 UTC
- REWARD$10.23May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$5.98May 17, 23:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $6.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 09:09 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 22 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".