Probable-Patience

• YES

  Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

  641 shares @ 39.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026

  $272.44

  $22.44

• NO

  Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026?

  313 shares @ 64.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026

  $186.05

  $-13.95

• YES

  Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

  1667 shares @ 9.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026

  $108.33

  $-41.66

• YES

  Will Waymo operate in 12 or more cities on June 30 2026?

  308 shares @ 29.2¢·now 17.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026

  $52.37

  $-37.63

• NO

  Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?

  40109 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026

  $0.00

  $-122.73

• NO

  Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

  10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026

  $0.00

  $-10.00

• YES

  Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?

  4526 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026

  $0.00

  $-2.1K

• NO

  U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?

  1500 shares @ 24.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026

  $0.00

  $-372.88

• NO

  Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?

  873 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026

  $0.00

  $-10.00

• YES

  Epstein suicide note released by May 8?

  467 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026

  $0.00

  $-10.00

• MAKER_REBATE$5.12May 16, 00:45 UTC
• REWARD$5.18May 16, 00:00 UTC
• TRADESELLWill Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?$20.29May 15, 19:38 UTC
• TRADESELLWill Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?$84.54May 15, 19:05 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?$190.00May 15, 18:50 UTC
• REDEEMWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.00May 15, 11:44 UTC
• TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$2.2KMay 15, 07:33 UTC
• TRADESELLWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$14.77May 15, 06:14 UTC
• TRADESELLWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$208.16May 15, 06:14 UTC
• REWARD$4.67May 15, 00:00 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?$102.56May 14, 22:10 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$102.28May 14, 22:09 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?$10.38May 14, 22:07 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?$15.55May 14, 22:06 UTC
• TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: May$327.09May 14, 11:39 UTC
• TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: May$20.00May 14, 11:22 UTC
• TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: May$1.00May 14, 08:50 UTC
• TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: May$2.09May 13, 23:51 UTC
• TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: May$4.20May 13, 22:11 UTC
• TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: May$3.00May 13, 21:48 UTC

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.