Alienated-Rug
0x36b88e8bb80cda741a4a96b12dda510e5d9dac4c
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$5.1K
Total PnL
$-691.03
Realised
$-405.51
Win rate
33%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Will Trump say "Melania" this week? (April 19)
2803 shares @ 41.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$2.8K
$1.7K
- NO
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
717 shares @ 63.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$476.81
$25.09
- YES
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
1397 shares @ 36.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$468.00
$-34.92
- YES
Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?
703 shares @ 44.0¢·now 61.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$428.83
$119.51
- MICHIGAN STATE SPARTANS
Michigan State Spartans vs. Temple Owls
737 shares @ 26.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$368.50
$176.88
- ANTHROPIC
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
330 shares @ 60.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$226.05
$28.05
- NO
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?
348 shares @ 24.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$120.03
$36.51
- NO
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?
120 shares @ 37.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$120.00
$75.36
- YES
New pandemic in 2026?
516 shares @ 12.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$64.50
$2.58
- YES
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
78 shares @ 40.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$8.97
$-22.23
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$269.10Apr 27, 10:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$18.00Apr 27, 10:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$31.50Apr 27, 10:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$31.50Apr 27, 10:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$31.50Apr 27, 10:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$31.50Apr 27, 10:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$18.00Apr 27, 10:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$31.50Apr 27, 09:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$31.50Apr 27, 09:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo end in a draw?$240.00Apr 27, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?$83.52Apr 23, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$499.59Apr 23, 07:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?$95.68Apr 21, 08:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$405.00Apr 21, 04:10 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?$109.56Apr 21, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Melania" this week? (April 19)$385.40Apr 13, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Melania" this week? (April 19)$390.32Apr 13, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Melania" this week? (April 19)$373.51Apr 13, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$202.50Apr 13, 17:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hong Kong have between 130-140mm of precipitation in April?$21.14Apr 13, 16:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $174.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 11:42 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 10:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".