Whimsical-Defender
0x3797b8a57dda5ded8d57855b42def7a0389e8be6
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
179
Open notional
$212.86
Total PnL
$-153.43
Realised
$-34.44
Win rate
38%
47 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 179- YES
Brex IPO before 2027?
1100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.10
$12.10
- YES
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
550 shares @ 2.1¢·now 2.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.28
$-0.28
- YES
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
1101 shares @ 1.2¢·now 1.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$11.01
$-2.20
- YES
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?
1101 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$9.36
$-1.65
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
1100 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$8.25
$1.65
- YES
Will Hillary Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
550 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.42
$-1.38
- YES
Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
550 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.3¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$7.15
$1.65
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?
1100 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$6.05
$-3.85
- YES
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
409 shares @ 1.2¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.93
$1.02
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMMilwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins$50.00May 16, 03:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMTunis: Tristan Boyer vs Inaki Montes$10.00May 15, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYTunis: Tristan Boyer vs Inaki Montes$3.67May 15, 13:08 UTC
- MERGEMilwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins$10.00May 15, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins$5.08May 15, 13:04 UTC
- MERGEWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17?$10.00May 15, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins$22.50May 15, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYGame Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)$6.36May 15, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYTunis: Tristan Boyer vs Inaki Montes$17.55May 15, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYTunis: Tristan Boyer vs Inaki Montes$5.94May 15, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins$7.65May 15, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spurs (-4.5)$6.90May 15, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYMap Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)$0.26May 15, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYArizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies$5.64May 15, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYMap Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)$1.23May 15, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYMap Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)$1.23May 15, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYMap Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)$1.23May 15, 11:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $3.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 21:43 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 47 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".