Jumpy-Coat
0x37a0167c1f4b30ca2246f5bff0e0ff3f91fdec34
Wallet digest
Activity score
97/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
157
Open notional
$2.7K
Total PnL
$-544.90
Realised
$55.02
Win rate
100%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 157- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
650 shares @ 50.0¢·now 86.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$559.65
$234.65
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
600 shares @ 90.7¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$524.99
$-19.00
- YES
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?
327 shares @ 84.1¢·now 79.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$258.69
$-16.83
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
300 shares @ 50.0¢·now 83.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$250.05
$100.05
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
100 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$95.50
$0.50
- NO
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 93.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$93.50
$0.50
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
650 shares @ 50.0¢·now 13.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$90.35
$-234.65
- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 81.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$81.35
$31.35
- YES
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
103 shares @ 53.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$52.02
$-2.61
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
300 shares @ 50.0¢·now 16.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$49.95
$-100.05
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.12May 18, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on May 18?$7.47May 17, 08:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Germany win Eurovision 2026?$5.00May 17, 08:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Italy win Eurovision 2026?$6.00May 17, 08:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sweden win Eurovision 2026?$7.00May 17, 08:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.12May 17, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C or higher on May 17?$3.55May 16, 08:47 UTC
- REDEEMXi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?$10.00May 16, 08:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 16, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$8.40May 15, 09:05 UTC
- SPLITWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$650.00May 15, 09:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Drake feature Pimmie on ICEMAN?$4.99May 15, 08:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cerebras' market cap be between $70B and $80B at market close on IPO day?$0.00May 15, 08:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cerebras' market cap be less than $50B at market close on IPO day?$0.00May 15, 08:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cerebras' market cap be less than $50B at market close on IPO day?$80.00May 15, 08:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 15, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cerebras' market cap be between $50B and $60B at market close on IPO day?$54.95May 14, 20:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cerebras' market cap be between $50B and $60B at market close on IPO day?$149.85May 14, 20:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cerebras' market cap be less than $50B at market close on IPO day?$399.60May 14, 20:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cerebras' market cap be between $70B and $80B at market close on IPO day?$39.00May 14, 19:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $171.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 14:45 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".