Homely-Cardigan
0x37b0aee6e1b0225888d6d403aeb785ad45253646
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$2.1K
Total PnL
$2.2K
Realised
$924.23
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will David Brock Smith be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?
551 shares @ 25.4¢·now 80.6¢·exp May 19, 2026$444.41
$304.49
- YES
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?
567 shares @ 13.7¢·now 77.5¢·exp Oct 26, 2026$439.48
$361.67
- NO
Will François Bayrou announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
325 shares @ 52.0¢·now 90.9¢·exp Apr 23, 2027$295.64
$126.52
- NO
Will Plasma reach $1.80 by December 31, 2026?
133 shares @ 21.0¢·now 93.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$124.40
$96.38
- NO
Will Andrew Zylberfink be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?
130 shares @ 50.5¢·now 88.2¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$114.66
$49.03
- NO
Will Chris Bennett advance from the CA-03 primary election?
109 shares @ 53.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$101.73
$44.06
- NO
Will Gregor Heise be the Republican Nominee for TX-30?
103 shares @ 29.8¢·now 94.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$97.21
$66.34
- NO
Will Valérie Pécresse announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
105 shares @ 40.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2027$92.40
$50.40
- NO
Will Ana Bailão win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?
92 shares @ 43.8¢·now 98.2¢·exp Oct 26, 2026$90.19
$49.93
- NO
Will Gérald Darmanin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
70 shares @ 28.6¢·now 88.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2027$61.60
$41.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Carole Delga announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?$30.00May 11, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gérald Darmanin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?$12.00May 11, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gérald Darmanin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?$4.00May 11, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gérald Darmanin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?$4.00May 11, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Valérie Pécresse announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?$2.01May 11, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Valérie Pécresse announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?$5.99May 11, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Valérie Pécresse announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?$4.00May 11, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Valérie Pécresse announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?$3.33May 11, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Valérie Pécresse announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?$8.00May 11, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Valérie Pécresse announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?$3.33May 11, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Valérie Pécresse announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?$8.00May 11, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Valérie Pécresse announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?$3.33May 11, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Valérie Pécresse announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?$4.00May 11, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michel Barnier announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?$3.33May 11, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michel Barnier announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?$16.00May 11, 01:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?$150.54May 11, 01:11 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.52May 6, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill David Brock Smith be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?$37.50May 5, 20:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ana Bailão win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?$94.19May 5, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chris Bennett advance from the CA-03 primary election?$2.02May 5, 20:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $18.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 28, 15:48 UTC
- Last active
- May 11, 01:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".