Grizzled-Essay
0x381c652bc062ce25fa3d2eab5afbcb2e6027dae1
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-152.21
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
814 shares @ 88.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$732.60
$16.28
- OVER
New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 3.5
892 shares @ 40.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$325.58
$-31.22
- PORTSMOUTH FC
Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)
147 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$147.00
$23.52
- NO
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?
71 shares @ 55.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$46.51
$7.45
- YES
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
299 shares @ 25.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$34.38
$-40.37
- NO
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
32 shares @ 61.8¢·now 55.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.73
$-2.05
- YES
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?
4 shares @ 18.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.22
$-0.50
- YES
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
1 shares @ 13.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.10
$-0.03
- NO
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 3 of the 2026 flu season be between 50 and 60?
960 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-86.40
- NO
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 28 be less than 2,000,000?
740 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-66.60
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Seoul have less than 40mm of precipitation in April?$25.98Apr 27, 08:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Seoul have less than 40mm of precipitation in April?$31.38Apr 27, 08:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Seoul have less than 40mm of precipitation in April?$16.50Apr 27, 08:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?$437.58Apr 27, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$716.32Apr 23, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?$450.84Apr 23, 12:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Polymarket mindshare hit 90%?$3.08Apr 14, 10:30 UTC
- REDEEMEast Texas A&M Lions vs. Lamar Cardinals$25.00Apr 14, 10:30 UTC
- REDEEMAnother crypto hack over $100m before 2027?$50.00Apr 14, 10:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hezbollah disarm by March 31?$262.00Apr 14, 10:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?$0.59Apr 13, 15:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in April?$66.92Apr 13, 04:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in April?$2.66Apr 13, 04:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in April?$31.64Apr 13, 04:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?$5.12Apr 11, 09:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?$53.12Apr 11, 09:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?$1.50Apr 11, 09:36 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Turkey military clash before 2027?$664.20Apr 11, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Turkey military clash before 2027?$656.10Apr 10, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?$58.14Apr 10, 14:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $201.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 26, 07:48 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 08:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".