0x384497c422f4ba42505cecc389916bb00f2411b4
0x384497c422f4ba42505cecc389916bb00f2411b4
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$509.14
Total PnL
$-416.20
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
72 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.7¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$72.09
$-0.14
- NO
Will João Bernardo Vieira win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
72 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.2¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$71.73
$-0.51
- NO
Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
72 shares @ 99.9¢·now 98.3¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$71.08
$-1.16
- NO
Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
72 shares @ 99.9¢·now 95.2¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$68.84
$-3.40
- NO
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
72 shares @ 99.9¢·now 95.2¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$68.84
$-3.40
- NO
Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
72 shares @ 99.9¢·now 93.8¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$67.79
$-4.45
- NO
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
36 shares @ 99.9¢·now 90.3¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$32.63
$-3.49
- NO
Will Encore Medical’s market cap be greater than $55M at market close on IPO day?
21 shares @ 97.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$20.42
$-0.21
- NO
Will Gary Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
20 shares @ 99.3¢·now 94.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$18.82
$-1.05
- NO
Will Antonio Maíllo be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?
15 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 17, 2026$15.41
$-0.02
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Partido Popular (PP) win the Andalusia regional election?$15.45May 18, 04:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Albania win Eurovision 2026?$59.85May 17, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Antonio Maíllo be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?$15.44May 17, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Partido Popular (PP) win the Andalusia regional election?$15.44May 16, 23:57 UTC
- REDEEMGames Total: O/U 2.5$0.00May 16, 03:55 UTC
- REDEEMGames Total: O/U 2.5$0.00May 16, 03:55 UTC
- REDEEMGames Total: O/U 2.5$19.75May 16, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gary Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?$19.89May 15, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Albania win Eurovision 2026?$19.88May 15, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Albania win Eurovision 2026?$19.88May 15, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Albania win Eurovision 2026?$19.88May 15, 23:55 UTC
- REDEEMDamac Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 4.5$0.00May 15, 21:56 UTC
- REDEEMDamac Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 4.5$21.06May 15, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYGames Total: O/U 2.5$19.74May 15, 21:55 UTC
- REDEEMMap 2: Odd/Even Total Rounds?$0.00May 15, 18:55 UTC
- REDEEMMap 2: Odd/Even Total Rounds?$0.00May 15, 18:55 UTC
- REDEEMMap 2: Odd/Even Total Rounds?$8.52May 15, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYDamac Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 4.5$20.99May 15, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYMap 2: Odd/Even Total Rounds?$8.52May 15, 16:55 UTC
- REDEEMJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?$0.00May 15, 06:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $18.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 04:55 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".