Cultivated-Eponym
0x38683ef99e7d7ed7ac61094cfe9a4feed22ac4b8
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$46.64
Total PnL
$-75.95
Realised
$0.16
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
36 shares @ 56.0¢·now 53.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.97
$-1.07
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
12 shares @ 82.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.67
$0.67
- NO
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
15 shares @ 65.4¢·now 53.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.76
$-1.73
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 71.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.21
$1.21
- NO
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
5 shares @ 76.0¢·now 77.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.03
$0.05
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
57 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.99
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on February 15?
24 shares @ 49.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-11.65
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 22?
15 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
14 shares @ 63.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-9.16
- YES
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?
12 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$5.18May 16, 23:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$4.00May 16, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$2.70May 16, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$1.22May 16, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$3.04May 16, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$4.05May 16, 04:50 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$64.41May 15, 16:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?$4.03May 10, 23:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Meryl Streep attend the Met Gala?$0.67May 4, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olivia Rodrigo attend the Met Gala?$2.02May 4, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meryl Streep attend the Met Gala?$1.05May 4, 21:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$1.33May 4, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$1.02May 4, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$1.02May 4, 09:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$9.88May 3, 15:32 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$20.75May 3, 15:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 28?$5.44Apr 28, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 28?$4.00Apr 28, 07:33 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$4.20Apr 28, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$8.40Apr 28, 07:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $6.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 20, 07:47 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 23:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".