Thorough-Employee
0x38c814c3f8bdf99a51954a264ad0f83c331964d0
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$2.7K
Total PnL
$-290.96
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- NO
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?
757 shares @ 97.1¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$751.63
$17.10
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
666 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$666.00
$333.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?
621 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$619.31
$0.31
- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
400 shares @ 92.2¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$365.80
$-3.20
- NO
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
200 shares @ 95.2¢·now 97.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$194.70
$4.30
- NO
Bitcoin quantum-resistant upgrade implemented in 2026?
23 shares @ 94.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.33
$-1.02
- NO
Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 40 Gwei before 2027?
20 shares @ 99.1¢·now 93.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$18.75
$-1.07
- YES
Ethereum flipped in 2026?
38 shares @ 38.0¢·now 38.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$14.40
$0.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
666 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-25.61
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
666 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-25.61
Recent activity
- CONVERSIONElon Musk # tweets May 1 - May 8, 2026?$666.00May 8, 15:14 UTC
- SPLITWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$666.00May 8, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 40 Gwei before 2027?$19.83May 8, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum flipped in 2026?$15.03May 8, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin quantum-resistant upgrade implemented in 2026?$21.45May 8, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?$250.57May 8, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?$619.18May 4, 16:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$100.00May 4, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?$270.41Apr 4, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?$25.94Apr 3, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?$92.20Apr 3, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?$66.26Apr 3, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?$19.39Apr 3, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China unban Bitcoin by 2027?$127.25Apr 2, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China unban Bitcoin by 2027?$3.47Apr 2, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China unban Bitcoin by 2027?$29.93Apr 2, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China unban Bitcoin by 2027?$0.95Apr 2, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China unban Bitcoin by 2027?$0.95Apr 2, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China unban Bitcoin by 2027?$0.95Apr 2, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?$194.60Apr 2, 12:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $229.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 8, 00:41 UTC
- Last active
- May 8, 15:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".