Circular-Beard
0x39258637aad816d9e22a66da1fca2b6623a1c094
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
143
Open notional
$971.06
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$50.43
Win rate
66%
47 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 143- NO
Will Kurt Wedekind win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?
99 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$99.21
$0.05
- NO
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
58 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$57.80
$-0.03
- NO
Will Howard Steven Rance be the Republican nominee for FL-09?
50 shares @ 98.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$47.27
$-1.73
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?
48 shares @ 95.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$47.07
$1.23
- NO
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?
42 shares @ 96.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$41.84
$1.37
- NO
Will Chris Carr win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
35 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$35.15
$0.18
- NO
Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
32 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$31.77
$3.81
- NO
Will George Forsyth win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
31 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$30.79
$0.08
- NO
Will Linda Nosková win the 2026 Women’s French Open?
31 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$30.79
$-0.12
- NO
Will Stripe’s market cap be less than $80B at market close on IPO day?
31 shares @ 98.7¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$30.73
$0.27
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 4, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Khamenei post 50-54 posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$19.24May 3, 21:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$22.28May 3, 21:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?$27.54May 3, 21:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?$36.86May 3, 21:52 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?$47.47May 3, 21:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $24.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 23, 14:24 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 47 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".