Chubby-Doctrine
0x396cd403add3a016f2d2778c1d872b444df056ad
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$203.51
Total PnL
$-23.51
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
33 shares @ 70.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$32.75
$9.70
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
34 shares @ 88.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$30.85
$0.85
- YES
Will Mike Thurmond win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?
1016 shares @ 1.1¢·now 2.4¢·exp May 19, 2026$23.87
$13.05
- NO
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
35 shares @ 72.1¢·now 68.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$23.73
$-1.27
- YES
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
31 shares @ 32.1¢·now 58.4¢·exp May 19, 2026$18.02
$8.11
- NO
Will Jason Esteves win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?
13 shares @ 83.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp May 19, 2026$12.85
$2.03
- YES
Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
26 shares @ 41.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$11.17
$0.39
- NO
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
72 shares @ 48.6¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.16
$-23.84
- YES
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
51 shares @ 15.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$10.02
$2.31
- NO
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
15 shares @ 67.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$9.48
$-0.52
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$20.67May 15, 13:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?$0.00May 15, 13:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?$0.00May 15, 13:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$0.00May 15, 13:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$0.00May 15, 13:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kon Knueppel lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?$0.00May 15, 13:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?$0.00May 15, 13:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (ADMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?$0.00May 15, 13:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?$16.09May 15, 13:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?$19.21May 15, 13:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Stephen Curry lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?$20.09May 15, 13:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Luka Doncic lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?$45.87May 15, 13:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?$0.00Mar 31, 20:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Franck Allisio win the Marseille mayor election?$0.00Mar 31, 20:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Martine Vassal win the Marseille mayor election?$0.00Mar 31, 20:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 10–15%?$0.00Mar 31, 20:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 15–20%?$0.00Mar 31, 20:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bruno Mars have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$0.00Mar 31, 20:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Arirang' - BTS debut week album sales be less than 3m?$27.17Mar 31, 20:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bad Bunny have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$35.26Mar 31, 20:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $23.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 16, 17:54 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 13:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".