Shallow-Polyp
0x39b0e53147e8d495d4eb138852772a7c72a207d1
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$38.8K
Total PnL
$-3.5K
Realised
$5.17
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
17746 shares @ 90.7¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$16.2K
$139.73
- NO
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
5000 shares @ 99.1¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$4.9K
$-22.50
- NO
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
5000 shares @ 87.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.3K
$-75.00
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
5000 shares @ 66.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.3K
$25.00
- NO
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
7349 shares @ 42.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.0K
$-36.74
- YES
Will Robert Abela be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?
2017 shares @ 89.4¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 30, 2026$1.9K
$103.48
- NO
Will Alex Borg be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?
1500 shares @ 91.9¢·now 94.2¢·exp May 30, 2026$1.4K
$34.25
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
2363 shares @ 42.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$980.77
$-11.82
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
1000 shares @ 86.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$865.00
$5.00
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
1000 shares @ 33.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$634.98
$304.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$19.22May 18, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$0.96May 18, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$0.96May 18, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$3.84May 18, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$5.13May 18, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$5.14May 18, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$123.94May 18, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$3.84May 18, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$13.45May 18, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$5.14May 18, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$36.75May 18, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$0.96May 18, 00:07 UTC
- REWARD$1.24May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$1.92May 17, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$164.47May 17, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$3.84May 17, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$0.98May 17, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$4.82May 17, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$0.96May 17, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$1.3KMay 17, 21:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $193.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 07:25 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".