Earnest-Transparency
0x39d3079f0f0725dcf30ed3893617af52671b963d
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$31.9K
Total PnL
$2.5K
Realised
$6.2K
Win rate
100%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
917626 shares @ 1.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$9.6K
$-596.46
- YES
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
552657 shares @ 1.2¢·now 1.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.4K
$-433.84
- YES
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
800847 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.0K
$-2.8K
- YES
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
370446 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.4K
$-47.42
- YES
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
198264 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.9K
$-245.65
- YES
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
154637 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.5K
$-55.05
- YES
Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship?
53924 shares @ 0.8¢·now 1.6¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$835.83
$398.66
- YES
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?
69079 shares @ 1.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$725.33
$-41.72
- YES
Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship?
65721 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$624.35
$65.33
- YES
Will the New York Jets win the 2027 NFL league championship?
57603 shares @ 1.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$604.84
$-22.98
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.01May 18, 03:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.68May 18, 03:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship?$1.20May 18, 03:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.01May 18, 03:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.72May 18, 03:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.00May 18, 03:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.70May 18, 03:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.55May 18, 03:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship?$0.02May 18, 03:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?$0.07May 18, 02:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.00May 18, 02:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.27May 18, 02:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.86May 18, 02:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.78May 18, 02:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.85May 18, 02:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.00May 18, 02:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.00May 18, 02:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.62May 18, 02:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.00May 18, 02:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.99May 18, 01:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $58.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 21:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 03:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".