Flippant-Darkness
0x39f498eef786bba414fdce50f46aa94c4c966a91
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$14.99
Total PnL
$-39.47
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump say "Prediction Market" in May?
8 shares @ 75.5¢·now 81.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.63
$0.45
- NO
Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week?
10 shares @ 73.5¢·now 62.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$6.20
$-1.15
- YES
Will Trump post "ICE" on Truth Social this week?
5 shares @ 60.0¢·now 35.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$1.75
$-1.25
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
20 shares @ 72.8¢·now 0.9¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.18
$-14.36
- YES
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
12 shares @ 69.8¢·now 1.1¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.13
$-8.36
- YES
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
13 shares @ 60.3¢·now 0.8¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.10
$-7.74
- NO
Will Trump say "Child" during Bret Baier interview?
10 shares @ 69.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-7.05
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump post "Football" on Truth Social this week?$5.00May 18, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Ballroom" during Bret Baier interview?$21.90May 16, 16:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Taiwan" during Bret Baier interview?$9.00May 16, 01:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.00May 15, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Taiwan" during Bret Baier interview?$4.77May 15, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Ballroom" during Bret Baier interview?$3.60May 15, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Child" during Bret Baier interview?$0.05May 15, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Child" during Bret Baier interview?$7.00May 15, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.06May 15, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$3.53May 15, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Ballroom" during Bret Baier interview?$3.55May 15, 12:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "TikTok" during events with Xi Jinping?$10.70May 15, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Ballroom" during Bret Baier interview?$4.90May 15, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Ballroom" during Bret Baier interview?$3.60May 15, 11:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "North Korea" or "Kim Jong Un" during events with Xi Jinping?$15.00May 15, 11:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.00May 15, 10:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.00May 15, 10:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?$18.93May 15, 10:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.00May 15, 10:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?$10.00May 15, 10:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $3.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 12:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".