Adored-Turning
0x3a5a19da3731d31c6cfa71449794f8f25b703427
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$2.3K
Total PnL
$-2.9K
Realised
$474.64
Win rate
49%
53 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?
344 shares @ 85.1¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$297.82
$4.95
- YES
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
326 shares @ 65.0¢·now 77.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$250.69
$38.95
- YES
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
231 shares @ 92.3¢·now 97.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$223.52
$10.61
- NO
Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31?
184 shares @ 85.9¢·now 91.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$167.05
$9.31
- YES
Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
4941 shares @ 1.0¢·now 3.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$150.69
$99.64
- YES
Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
1749 shares @ 3.5¢·now 7.2¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$126.77
$66.43
- NO
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
80 shares @ 79.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$67.60
$4.40
- YES
Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
4631 shares @ 0.8¢·now 1.3¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$60.20
$21.30
- UNDER
CA Paranaense vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 3.5
60 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$60.00
$3.60
- YES
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
85 shares @ 58.2¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$54.83
$5.38
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$3.00May 18, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$2.04May 18, 06:03 UTC
- TRADESELLCD Concepción vs. Everton de Viña del Mar: O/U 2.5$7.68May 18, 01:46 UTC
- TRADESELLCD Concepción vs. Everton de Viña del Mar: O/U 2.5$0.52May 18, 01:46 UTC
- TRADESELLCD Concepción vs. Everton de Viña del Mar: O/U 2.5$10.88May 18, 01:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nashville SC win on 2026-05-17?$27.75May 18, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nashville SC win on 2026-05-17?$37.28May 18, 01:34 UTC
- TRADESELLCD Concepción vs. Everton de Viña del Mar: O/U 2.5$0.82May 18, 01:33 UTC
- TRADESELLCD Concepción vs. Everton de Viña del Mar: O/U 2.5$25.42May 18, 01:33 UTC
- TRADESELLCD Concepción vs. Everton de Viña del Mar: O/U 2.5$6.52May 18, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYCD Concepción vs. Everton de Viña del Mar: O/U 2.5$18.05May 18, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYCD Concepción vs. Everton de Viña del Mar: O/U 2.5$45.13May 18, 01:16 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.30May 18, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$0.19May 18, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$2.56May 18, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$2.55May 18, 00:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYCA Paranaense vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 3.5$0.94May 17, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYCA Paranaense vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 3.5$55.46May 17, 23:56 UTC
- TRADESELLCA Paranaense vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 3.5$93.00May 17, 23:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $27.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 20:45 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 53 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".