Gregarious-Semantics
0x3ac38a1c29bbfaf4300985d2c71d873e0a15b4a9
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$78.24
Total PnL
$-143.76
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Israel strike Lebanon on October 30?
31 shares @ 32.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$30.95
$20.95
- NO
Will Adam Crum win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
20 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$20.31
$0.31
- NO
Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during Xi events on October 29?
20 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$20.22
$0.22
- NO
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
11 shares @ 91.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$6.76
$-3.24
- ATHLETICS
Athletics vs. Yankees
213 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2025$0.00
$-66.00
- CARDINALS
Seahawks vs. Cardinals
185 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$0.00
$-85.00
- HEAT
Cavaliers vs. Heat
48 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on October 30?$10.00Oct 30, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "China" 5+ times during Xi events on October 29?$20.00Oct 30, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Adam Crum win the 2026 Alaska governor election?$20.00Oct 14, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?$10.00Oct 14, 05:28 UTC
- REDEEMCommanders vs. Falcons$100.00Oct 14, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYCommanders vs. Falcons$55.00Sep 28, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeahawks vs. Cardinals$85.00Sep 25, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYAthletics vs. Yankees$66.00Jun 27, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Heat$2.00Apr 28, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Heat$9.00Apr 28, 11:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by March 31?$0.00Apr 28, 11:38 UTC
- REDEEMMagic vs. Hawks$0.00Apr 28, 11:38 UTC
- REDEEMNets vs. Hornets$94.59Apr 28, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYNets vs. Hornets$35.00Mar 8, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by March 31?$9.00Mar 8, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYMagic vs. Hawks$48.00Feb 20, 18:04 UTC
- REDEEMRockets vs. Kings$0.00Feb 20, 17:56 UTC
- REDEEMNuggets vs. Heat$0.00Feb 20, 17:56 UTC
- REDEEMRockets vs. Kings$0.00Feb 20, 17:56 UTC
- REDEEMNuggets vs. Heat$200.00Feb 20, 17:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $29.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 12, 12:31 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 30, 05:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".