Flawed-Imagination
0x3ad06c0442a788da3a36fa56faab12471bd71153
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
47
Open notional
$181.42
Total PnL
$-185.57
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
32 shares @ 79.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$29.27
$4.27
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
20 shares @ 49.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$15.41
$5.41
- NO
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?
13 shares @ 80.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$10.56
$0.56
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
11 shares @ 90.4¢·now 92.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.28
$0.28
- NO
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?
11 shares @ 95.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.27
$0.27
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?
360 shares @ 8.6¢·now 2.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.08
$-20.91
- YES
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?
67 shares @ 27.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$9.65
$-8.35
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?
365 shares @ 8.2¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.12
$-20.88
- YES
Will Russia enter Borova by May 31?
39 shares @ 18.0¢·now 21.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.18
$1.18
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
6 shares @ 79.0¢·now 96.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.09
$1.09
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026?$3.00May 17, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?$3.00May 17, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?$5.00May 17, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$5.12May 17, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$5.00May 17, 09:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?$5.13May 17, 02:43 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 15?$5.43May 16, 07:17 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$11.67May 16, 06:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on May 12?$2.33May 13, 09:37 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$16.27May 12, 15:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on May 11?$5.49May 12, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 11?$5.82May 12, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on May 12?$1.03May 11, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on May 11?$5.02May 11, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 11?$5.08May 11, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 11?$5.04May 11, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 15?$5.00May 11, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$5.00May 10, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$10.00May 10, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$10.00May 10, 15:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $4.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 09:52 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 09:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".