Agonizing-Popularity
0x3add7458f6f680d749d4960517543dfe1867511f
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$315.33
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$-0.19
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- NO
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
77 shares @ 65.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$70.38
$20.38
- YES
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
55 shares @ 90.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$55.45
$5.45
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
166 shares @ 30.2¢·now 21.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$34.77
$-15.23
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
61 shares @ 49.3¢·now 56.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$34.39
$4.39
- NO
Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026?
34 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$34.09
$4.09
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
385 shares @ 13.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$24.81
$-25.19
- NO
Will xAI release a dLLM by June 30?
24 shares @ 84.4¢·now 94.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$22.32
$2.32
- NO
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
49 shares @ 41.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$16.82
$-3.18
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
68 shares @ 44.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.93
$-18.07
- NO
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?
37 shares @ 82.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.87
$-22.13
Recent activity
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?$27.59Mar 23, 08:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?$36.07Mar 23, 08:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$40.54Mar 23, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?$30.00Mar 6, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$30.00Mar 6, 17:57 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$58.37Mar 1, 09:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US embassy in Venezuela reopen by March 31?$37.53Feb 28, 12:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?$75.12Feb 21, 14:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine join the Board of Peace?$44.75Feb 19, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?$30.00Feb 15, 17:35 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?$58.45Feb 15, 17:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google say "Gemini 3" during earnings call?$51.06Feb 4, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?$20.00Feb 2, 20:13 UTC
- REDEEMGrok 4.20 released by January 31?$37.04Feb 2, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?$20.00Jan 31, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?$20.00Jan 31, 14:08 UTC
- TRADESELLUS government shutdown Saturday?$18.87Jan 31, 14:06 UTC
- REDEEMInternet access restored in Iran by Friday?$23.53Jan 31, 14:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?$29.71Jan 29, 22:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?$16.18Jan 28, 09:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $29.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 18, 20:03 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 23, 08:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".