Frilly-Reactant
0x3af2ba2e1adb553af3f86667fac2c171b5feedbb
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$393.46
Total PnL
$-841.89
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?
515 shares @ 97.0¢·now 28.3¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$146.08
$-353.92
- NO
Makina FDV above $300M one day after launch?
104 shares @ 95.8¢·now 97.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$101.34
$1.34
- NO
Makina FDV above $200M one day after launch?
105 shares @ 95.0¢·now 91.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$96.16
$-3.84
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?
50 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$49.88
$0.02
- NO
USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?
500 shares @ 97.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-485.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$146.44May 16, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 15?$503.83May 15, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 15?$500.27May 15, 12:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 13?$500.00May 13, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$140.25May 13, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 13?$499.53May 13, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?$49.86May 13, 15:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 10?$220.10May 10, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 10?$219.49May 8, 20:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 6?$690.69May 6, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 6?$690.05May 6, 15:42 UTC
- REDEEMMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?$282.75May 6, 15:41 UTC
- REDEEMMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?$407.33May 6, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?$262.96Apr 26, 00:27 UTC
- REDEEMUSD.AI FDV above $4B one day after launch?$200.20Apr 26, 00:25 UTC
- TRADESELLUSD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?$58.27Apr 22, 19:59 UTC
- TRADESELLUSD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?$4.49Apr 22, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUSD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?$1.2KApr 21, 13:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 15?$1.2KApr 21, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 15?$1.2KApr 14, 17:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $463.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 26, 09:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 07:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".