Mellow-Conversation
0x3b1a8b39f8d3a4ce3fe7c1e752cf14c386834221
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-2.6K
Realised
$682.34
Win rate
100%
85 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?
150 shares @ 88.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$150.00
$17.15
- NO
Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?
150 shares @ 93.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$150.00
$9.95
- NO
Will the People Power Party (PPP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?
150 shares @ 97.4¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$148.05
$1.90
- NO
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?
150 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$147.97
$0.98
- NO
Will Russia enter Kherson by June 30?
150 shares @ 96.4¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$147.07
$2.47
- NO
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?
150 shares @ 96.2¢·now 77.8¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$116.78
$-27.52
- NO
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
150 shares @ 68.4¢·now 68.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$102.67
$0.07
- YES
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?
150 shares @ 80.3¢·now 55.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$82.95
$-37.45
- NO
Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?
150 shares @ 67.8¢·now 36.9¢·exp May 27, 2026$55.35
$-46.31
- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
150 shares @ 90.5¢·now 35.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$53.10
$-82.65
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on March 20?$1.53Apr 28, 13:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on March 18?$1.57Apr 28, 13:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on March 21?$1.58Apr 28, 13:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?$1.60Apr 28, 13:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Marty Supreme" win exactly 3 awards at the Oscars?$1.62Apr 28, 13:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Hamnet" win exactly 2 awards at the Oscars?$1.64Apr 28, 13:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C on March 29?$1.64Apr 28, 13:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Opendoor (OPEN) close at $3.00-$4.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?$1.65Apr 28, 13:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C or higher on March 27?$1.69Apr 28, 13:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft (MSFT) close at $340-$350 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?$1.70Apr 28, 13:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on March 26?$1.71Apr 28, 13:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill 10-14 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?$1.72Apr 28, 13:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on March 26?$1.73Apr 28, 13:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Democrats 66 (D66) win the most seats in Rotterdam’s 2026 municipal election?$1.73Apr 28, 13:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on March 26?$1.75Apr 28, 13:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on March 22?$1.75Apr 28, 13:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Sentimental Value" win exactly 3 awards at the Oscars?$1.76Apr 28, 13:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on March 28?$1.76Apr 28, 13:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $100 in March?$1.76Apr 28, 13:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Nobody 2" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?$1.79Apr 28, 13:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 28, 13:10 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 28, 13:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 85 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".