Sleepy-Staircase
0x3b1d4f74134474325c107736013e93ca09c7ad56
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$1.47
Total PnL
$-48.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in May 2026 (ET)?
978 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.47
$-13.53
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
97 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-4.76
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C or higher on May 14?
36 shares @ 16.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Trump Was Right About Everything" in April?
29 shares @ 34.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Tough Cookie" this week? (April 20 - 26)
23 shares @ 42.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-9.77
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
19 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-4.81
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C or higher on May 14?$6.25May 14, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Trump Was Right About Everything" in April?$10.00Apr 23, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tough Cookie" this week? (April 20 - 26)$10.00Apr 23, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in May 2026 (ET)?$10.00Apr 21, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$5.00Apr 21, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$5.00Apr 21, 16:33 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 16?$0.00Apr 21, 16:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 13?$0.00Apr 21, 16:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$0.00Apr 21, 16:29 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 12?$0.00Apr 21, 16:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in March 2026?$0.00Apr 21, 16:29 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 18?$0.00Apr 21, 16:29 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 3?$0.00Apr 21, 16:29 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$0.98Apr 21, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.00Apr 21, 16:28 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$46.68Apr 8, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in March 2026?$10.00Mar 30, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$15.00Mar 25, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in May 2026 (ET)?$5.00Mar 19, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 16?$2.00Mar 16, 17:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $10.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 13, 16:44 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 02:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".