Gentle-Whirlwind
0x3b4336e5206ce45dcab1833af141e39ff364c636
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$27.89
Total PnL
$-6.15
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1600.00 and 1699.99 at the end of December 2026?
6 shares @ 82.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.73
$-0.27
- NO
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
4 shares @ 93.0¢·now 95.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.11
$0.11
- YES
Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3 shares @ 91.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$3.15
$0.15
- NO
Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 97.4¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2 shares @ 94.0¢·now 90.3¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.92
$-0.08
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
5 shares @ 57.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.66
$-1.34
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
5 shares @ 21.7¢·now 24.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.29
$0.15
- NO
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.08
$0.08
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
1 shares @ 72.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.03
$0.03
Recent activity
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$1.42May 14, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?$1.01May 7, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$1.00May 7, 09:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$2.34May 7, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.00May 6, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.00May 6, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$1.00May 6, 11:25 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$3.25May 6, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilei out as President of Argentina before 2027?$1.00May 1, 13:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by June 30?$1.09May 1, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?$1.00Apr 24, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Houston Astros$1.00Apr 16, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?$1.00Apr 15, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.00Apr 15, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.00Apr 15, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$2.00Apr 15, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.00Apr 15, 22:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be between 3.1% and 3.3%?$8.11Apr 15, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.14Apr 8, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$0.95Apr 8, 00:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $1.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 4, 17:58 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 13:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".