Sorrowful-Sphynx
0x3b7be9248f539bf9d130e7f60cf435ba7f2ebef7
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$9.98
Total PnL
$-1.55
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Netanyahu out by June 30?
5 shares @ 93.0¢·now 96.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.21
$0.21
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
4 shares @ 84.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.84
$-0.16
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2 shares @ 43.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Will La Rochelle win the 2026 Top 14 Final?
2 shares @ 90.0¢·now 53.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.90
$-0.63
- NO
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
4 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$3.21May 16, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$2.56May 12, 15:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$3.17May 9, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill La Rochelle win the 2026 Top 14 Final?$1.53May 4, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$3.02May 4, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$3.01May 4, 20:07 UTC
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$1.25May 1, 06:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?$6.32May 1, 06:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$1.03Apr 28, 20:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$1.02Apr 28, 20:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump talk to Mark Rutte in April?$1.35Apr 28, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$2.00Apr 1, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Mark Rutte in April?$1.00Apr 1, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.00Apr 1, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$1.00Apr 1, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 31?$1.00Apr 1, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$1.00Apr 1, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$2.00Apr 1, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$1.00Apr 1, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by June 30?$5.00Apr 1, 00:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $2.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 1, 00:30 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 07:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".