0x3bc6cd88ed52bb4d43d18c51d155ee6e0e61d452
0x3bc6cd88ed52bb4d43d18c51d155ee6e0e61d452
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$71.90
Total PnL
$2.90
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Zachary Shrewsbury be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?
13 shares @ 77.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$12.91
$2.91
- NO
Will Reform UK win at least 2000 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
10 shares @ 48.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$10.42
$5.42
- NO
Will Georgia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
10 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$10.20
$5.20
- NO
Will the Green Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
9 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$9.43
$4.43
- NO
Will Montenegro advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
9 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$9.43
$4.43
- NO
Will Starmer say "Anti-Semitism" or "Anti-Semitic" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
11 shares @ 47.0¢·now 66.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$7.02
$2.02
- NO
Will John Cavanaugh be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?
7 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$6.76
$1.76
- NO
Will Starmer say "U-turn" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
9 shares @ 55.0¢·now 63.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$5.73
$0.73
- NO
Will Hannah Harper win American Idol Season 24?
23 shares @ 60.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- NO
Will the Labour Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
11 shares @ 47.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the NYT front-page headlines say "Elon" or "Musk" this week?$9.78May 11, 03:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the NYT front-page headlines say "Elon" or "Musk" this week?$0.00May 11, 03:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump post "Blockade" on Truth Social this week?$0.00May 11, 03:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump post "Blockade" on Truth Social this week?$0.00May 11, 03:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Forhad Hussain win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election?$0.00May 11, 03:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Animal Farm" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 4m?$8.20May 11, 03:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Running Point: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?$19.23May 11, 03:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?$0.00May 11, 03:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?$6.77May 11, 03:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Swapped" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?$0.00May 11, 03:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amanda De Ryk win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?$14.61May 11, 03:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?$7.14May 11, 03:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?$6.78May 11, 03:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brentford FC win on 2026-05-02?$0.00May 11, 03:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Miraculous World: Paris, Tales of Shadybug and Claw Noir" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?$6.25May 11, 03:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Man on Fire: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?$6.02May 11, 03:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jason Perry win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?$0.00May 11, 03:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?$43.02May 11, 03:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the NYT front-page headlines say "Elon" or "Musk" this week?$0.00May 11, 03:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump post "Blockade" on Truth Social this week?$0.00May 11, 03:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $5.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 28, 08:05 UTC
- Last active
- May 11, 03:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".