Illustrious-Scenery
0x3bea95fa9eace38f1f9cccb489c31251f992f95a
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
178
Open notional
$2.1K
Total PnL
$-59.3K
Realised
$3.4K
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 178- YES
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
7874 shares @ 16.5¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$748.05
$-551.94
- YES
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
6250 shares @ 16.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$531.25
$-468.75
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
517 shares @ 58.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$323.42
$23.42
- YES
Clavicular sentenced to prison?
1667 shares @ 12.0¢·now 19.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$316.67
$116.67
- YES
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
1104 shares @ 22.6¢·now 8.4¢·exp May 19, 2026$92.75
$-157.25
- YES
Netanyahu out by June 30?
2000 shares @ 20.0¢·now 3.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$64.00
$-336.00
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
750 shares @ 8.0¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.13
$-49.88
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
76667 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-139.92
- YES
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?
50980 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-249.96
- YES
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in December?
40000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?$52.49May 16, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Albania win Eurovision 2026?$52.49May 16, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$305.04May 16, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$257.74May 16, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Albania win Eurovision 2026?$209.95May 16, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?$61.48May 16, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?$102.46May 16, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?$51.10May 16, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-16?$102.91May 16, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-16?$158.97May 16, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?$204.92May 16, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?$204.80May 16, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-16?$51.44May 16, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)$51.43May 16, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)$30.32May 16, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-16?$102.52May 16, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-16?$102.49May 16, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)$205.52May 16, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-16?$511.85May 16, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Chelsea FC 2 - 1 Manchester City FC?$102.74May 16, 13:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $201.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 15:53 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 21:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".