Splendid-Shout
0x3c09fe4695706b792b46fae2cc432f9b54eae173
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$1.4K
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$218.63
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
1940 shares @ 49.8¢·now 35.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$684.00
$-282.99
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
1000 shares @ 48.5¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$315.00
$-170.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
1000 shares @ 32.5¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$175.00
$-150.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
1500 shares @ 21.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$67.49
$-247.47
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
500 shares @ 20.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$57.50
$-42.50
- YES
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?
500 shares @ 20.0¢·now 4.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$24.50
$-75.50
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
1000 shares @ 3.0¢·now 1.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$12.50
$-17.50
- YES
Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
2578 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.60
$3.38
- YES
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
1165 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.48
$-24.46
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
1000 shares @ 32.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-325.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$0.18May 9, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$0.02May 8, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$0.05May 8, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$0.09May 8, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$0.44May 3, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$30.00Apr 24, 11:47 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$340.00Apr 19, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$0.18Apr 19, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$300.00Apr 19, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$0.06Apr 18, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$0.01Apr 18, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$0.06Apr 18, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$0.01Apr 18, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$0.00Apr 18, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$0.18Apr 18, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$0.08Apr 18, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$0.18Apr 18, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$0.18Apr 17, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$0.06Apr 17, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$0.18Apr 17, 21:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $13.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 11, 08:54 UTC
- Last active
- May 9, 10:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".