Courageous-Contrast
0x3c3fa70e71a7fbad80355b1c7e7eb13e89a0a1bc
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$367.20
Total PnL
$-666.78
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
300 shares @ 91.5¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$274.35
$-0.15
- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
53 shares @ 94.5¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$50.50
$0.50
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
118 shares @ 17.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.71
$-5.29
- YES
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
280 shares @ 3.6¢·now 4.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.33
$2.33
- YES
Fed abolished before 2027?
227 shares @ 4.4¢·now 4.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.30
$-0.70
- YES
US defaults on debt by 2027?
170 shares @ 5.9¢·now 3.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.01
$-3.99
- NO
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?
3345 shares @ 19.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-649.47
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?
632 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?
315 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBackpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?$152.49Mar 24, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?$274.50Mar 24, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBackpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?$13.60Mar 24, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBackpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?$81.60Mar 24, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBackpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?$292.80Mar 24, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBackpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?$9.11Mar 24, 09:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBackpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?$9.11Mar 24, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBackpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?$19.88Mar 23, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBackpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?$80.00Mar 23, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBackpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?$6.62Mar 23, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUY10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$50.00Mar 23, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$20.00Mar 23, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS defaults on debt by 2027?$10.00Mar 23, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed abolished before 2027?$10.00Mar 23, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine joins NATO before 2027?$10.00Mar 23, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?$5.00Mar 23, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Backpack launch a token by March 31?$5.00Mar 23, 08:11 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner$42.81Mar 22, 16:33 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs$13.90Mar 22, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner$30.00Mar 22, 16:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $54.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 16:02 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 24, 13:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".