Sweaty-Conversion
0x3c5b08a5c54263babc7677c93337a637dea2de2e
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$14.84
Total PnL
$-12.73
Realised
$0.97
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25?
17 shares @ 75.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$14.45
$1.70
- YES
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?
3 shares @ 26.3¢·now 13.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.39
$-0.40
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
20 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
10 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?
10 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.30
- NO
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25?$12.75May 18, 06:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$0.87May 11, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 15?$1.00May 7, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$1.04May 7, 05:19 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$5.90Apr 17, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$2.00Apr 16, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?$1.30Apr 15, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?$1.50Apr 15, 14:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?$0.00Apr 7, 20:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?$0.00Apr 7, 20:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?$0.00Apr 7, 20:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-19?$0.00Apr 7, 20:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in March 2026?$0.00Apr 7, 20:00 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Pelicans (-1.5)$0.00Apr 7, 20:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by March 31?$0.00Apr 7, 20:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?$0.00Apr 7, 20:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?$0.00Apr 7, 20:00 UTC
- REDEEMMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?$0.00Apr 7, 20:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Backpack launch a token on March 23?$0.00Apr 7, 20:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$0.00Apr 7, 20:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $2.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 19, 14:29 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".