Tremendous-Brushfire
0x3c648e8295c38533e7c3c38c98dc9e4080e0cb26
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
36
Open notional
$4.1K
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$34.08
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
113856 shares @ 1.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.2K
$-36.89
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
28227 shares @ 3.3¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$973.82
$42.34
- NO
Will Jurgen Klopp be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?
534 shares @ 93.6¢·now 99.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$531.98
$31.98
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
400 shares @ 62.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$329.99
$82.00
- YES
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
537 shares @ 57.9¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$292.78
$-18.02
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5000 shares @ 5.1¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$257.50
$2.50
- YES
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
1670 shares @ 9.0¢·now 14.1¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$234.63
$84.33
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
530 shares @ 18.9¢·now 18.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$98.84
$-1.32
- NO
Will Catanzaro achieve promotion from Serie B to Serie A for the 2026-27 season?
104 shares @ 96.3¢·now 65.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$67.43
$-32.46
- YES
Will Palmeiras win Copa Libertadores?
108 shares @ 20.5¢·now 29.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2026$31.41
$9.22
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.28May 18, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%?$50.00May 18, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-17?$13.82May 17, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-17?$0.23May 17, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-17?$0.44May 17, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-17?$19.00May 17, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-17?$15.90May 17, 22:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Avellino achieve promotion from Serie B to Serie A for the 2026-27 season?$36.99May 17, 04:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.28May 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.28May 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.28May 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.28May 14, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Coritiba FBC win on 2026-05-13?$51.00May 13, 22:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid place 2nd for the 2025-26 LaLiga season?$26.67May 13, 22:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-05-12?$150.00May 13, 10:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.28May 13, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-05-12?$102.98May 12, 20:24 UTC
- REDEEMPistons vs. Cavaliers$310.00May 12, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Lakers$57.17May 12, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYPistons vs. Cavaliers$151.12May 12, 01:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $58.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".