Haunting-Disguise
0x3c70f50bf7b7ca5105df0fcd04e2cc005f36ff87
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$4.33
Total PnL
$-3.73
Realised
$-0.89
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Freddie Mac’s market cap be less than $150B at market close on IPO day?
2 shares @ 94.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.25
$0.13
- NO
Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be fewer than 24?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$1.10
$0.05
- NO
Will Ethena reach $1.20 by December 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the AFC West?
6 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 8, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$120.20May 7, 05:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$119.83May 7, 05:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 7, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 6, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$120.04May 5, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$120.02May 5, 09:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$119.37May 5, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$120.02May 5, 09:58 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 17, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$112.77Apr 16, 05:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 15, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$113.00Apr 14, 06:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$1.00Apr 14, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$1.00Feb 3, 05:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$1.00Feb 3, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$1.00Feb 3, 05:31 UTC
- REDEEMEvacuation of Tehran ordered in 2025?$1.22Feb 3, 05:30 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces new drug boat strike by January 10?$1.33Feb 3, 05:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $29.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 24, 09:39 UTC
- Last active
- May 8, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".