Alarmed-Gaiters
0x3c7437723471918e37075f9bdd35ffc533f56493
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
91
Open notional
$65.57
Total PnL
$-612.41
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 91- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
286 shares @ 3.5¢·now 4.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$12.40
$2.40
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
109 shares @ 9.2¢·now 7.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.76
$-2.24
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
1667 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$7.50
$-2.50
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
833 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$6.25
$1.25
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?
119 shares @ 4.2¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$5.30
$0.30
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
172 shares @ 2.9¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$3.88
$-1.12
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?
102 shares @ 4.9¢·now 3.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.67
$-1.33
- YES
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?
71 shares @ 7.1¢·now 4.8¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$3.40
$-1.60
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
294 shares @ 1.7¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$3.38
$-1.62
- NO
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?
150 shares @ 26.7¢·now 2.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.30
$-36.70
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$10.00May 16, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$5.19May 8, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $330 in May?$5.19May 8, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$5.25May 8, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$5.25May 8, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$10.50May 8, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$5.25May 8, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$5.24May 8, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by June 30?$10.39May 8, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 31?$5.19May 8, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?$5.19May 8, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$10.45May 8, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA reach $228 in April?$10.39Apr 29, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?$10.00Mar 27, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?$10.00Mar 27, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$5.00Mar 20, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$5.00Mar 20, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?$10.00Mar 20, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?$15.00Mar 20, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?$10.00Mar 20, 23:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $15.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 30, 17:51 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 19:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".