Lean-Trolley
0x3c760e45728e0cb4b68c52980a070314b95fd4ee
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
41
Open notional
$6.0K
Total PnL
$535.18
Realised
$20.40
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- NO
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?
1286 shares @ 94.1¢·now 99.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.3K
$64.00
- NO
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
500 shares @ 82.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$467.50
$57.50
- NO
Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?
419 shares @ 82.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$410.10
$66.62
- NO
New COVID variant of concern before 2027?
480 shares @ 80.1¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$391.15
$6.65
- YES
Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
294 shares @ 84.4¢·now 99.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$291.40
$42.80
- NO
US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?
292 shares @ 93.5¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$290.16
$17.08
- NO
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
299 shares @ 96.4¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$288.38
$0.26
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
290 shares @ 81.3¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$253.75
$18.10
- NO
New pandemic in 2026?
289 shares @ 63.4¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$253.04
$69.53
- NO
Will Comey smile in his mugshot?
230 shares @ 93.3¢·now 98.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$226.90
$12.40
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?$20.00May 17, 12:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill James Comey leave the country by May 15?$25.25May 17, 12:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the NYT front-page headlines say "Polymarket" this week?$49.99May 17, 12:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Drake officially release Iceman by May 8, 2026?$53.15May 17, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYPam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?$0.79May 16, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYPam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?$1.46May 14, 18:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$11.93May 13, 17:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$2.53May 13, 14:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$5.51May 13, 09:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$5.18May 13, 03:00 UTC
- REWARD$2.29May 10, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYPam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?$1.00May 9, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYPam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?$6.02May 9, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYPam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?$2.99May 9, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$40.27May 9, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$4.83May 9, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYPam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?$12.01May 9, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYPam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?$0.34May 9, 01:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$1.11May 8, 22:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$35.02May 8, 22:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $11.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 00:36 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 12:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".