Massive-Phase
0x3c8ac6a99d9c7a41860aec2ae7520c7aaa68b45a
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$540.4K
Total PnL
$16.4K
Realised
$-599.48
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
216374 shares @ 87.3¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$200.3K
$11.5K
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
149843 shares @ 90.3¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$131.1K
$-4.2K
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
70000 shares @ 84.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$63.3K
$4.6K
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
60227 shares @ 82.5¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$52.1K
$2.4K
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
45374 shares @ 88.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$41.1K
$1.1K
- NO
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
26675 shares @ 87.8¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.9K
$448.11
- NO
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
20968 shares @ 85.4¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.0K
$1.1K
- NO
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?
8476 shares @ 94.2¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.1K
$109.75
- NO
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
1039 shares @ 97.7¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.0K
$2.63
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?
530 shares @ 93.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$516.72
$23.86
Recent activity
- YIELD$24.56May 18, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$4.3KMay 17, 10:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$4.3KMay 17, 10:38 UTC
- YIELD$24.56May 17, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$8.6KMay 16, 03:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$8.6KMay 16, 03:32 UTC
- YIELD$24.56May 16, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYGreece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?$50.00May 15, 03:49 UTC
- YIELD$24.56May 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$24.56May 14, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China blockade Taiwan by June 30?$1.0KMay 13, 05:02 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$917.64May 13, 04:56 UTC
- YIELD$24.56May 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$24.56May 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$24.56May 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$24.56May 10, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYGreece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?$122.80May 9, 14:02 UTC
- YIELD$24.56May 9, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$24.56May 8, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$24.56May 7, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $3.7K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 13, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".