Bowed-Balloonist
0x3c90b7c7bac775dc35b25037f11df011e87a17fb
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$1.8K
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$65.98
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- SRI LANKA
ODI Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka
1560 shares @ 79.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$1.2K
$-54.60
- YES
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
1014 shares @ 36.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$339.69
$-25.35
- YES
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?
199 shares @ 74.1¢·now 65.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$130.05
$-17.41
- YES
Will Tom Sell be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?
124 shares @ 60.7¢·now 98.6¢·exp May 26, 2026$122.20
$46.89
- YES
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
14 shares @ 19.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.07
$4.41
- YES
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 22.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2026$0.10
$-0.12
- YES
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
1 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-0.03
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 25, 7PM ET
939 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-460.11
- OVER
Querétaro FC vs. FC Juárez: O/U 2.5
664 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-318.72
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 26, 5PM ET
634 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-291.80
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?$12.58Apr 27, 08:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?$93.84Apr 27, 08:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?$113.22Apr 27, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?$206.72Apr 23, 12:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 30, 2026?$77.00Apr 15, 10:15 UTC
- REDEEMPortsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5$755.00Apr 15, 10:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by April 30?$11.52Apr 12, 08:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by April 30?$108.48Apr 12, 08:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill April 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?$338.72Apr 12, 08:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill April 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?$346.32Apr 11, 23:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by April 30?$16.10Apr 11, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?$77.06Apr 11, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?$70.39Apr 11, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by April 30?$125.40Apr 10, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?$130.32Apr 10, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?$234.72Apr 10, 14:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?$372.15Apr 9, 23:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?$4.65Apr 9, 23:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?$11.01Apr 9, 23:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026?$76.02Apr 9, 22:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $212.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 17, 14:16 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 08:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".