Recent-Icebreaker
0x3c918a8ef8c379304f744592120cbb4d76149af7
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$266.5K
Total PnL
$9.7K
Realised
$3.3K
Win rate
100%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
75000 shares @ 93.2¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$73.3K
$3.4K
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
72000 shares @ 89.6¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$64.4K
$-89.93
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
90000 shares @ 70.2¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$61.6K
$-1.5K
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
30000 shares @ 90.6¢·now 95.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$28.5K
$1.4K
- NO
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
13100 shares @ 95.1¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.4K
$-8.10
- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
46200 shares @ 17.8¢·now 24.1¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$11.2K
$2.9K
- NO
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
13000 shares @ 84.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.1K
$195.00
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
3000 shares @ 55.9¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.6K
$-101.78
- YES
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?
2500 shares @ 43.6¢·now 49.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.2K
$147.50
- NO
Jimmy Lai released by June 30?
900 shares @ 94.8¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$891.00
$38.03
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYJimmy Lai released by June 30?$475.47May 15, 02:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$486.89May 15, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYJimmy Lai released by June 30?$19.00May 15, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYJimmy Lai released by June 30?$56.94May 15, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYJimmy Lai released by June 30?$189.70May 15, 02:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$272.66May 15, 02:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GameStop acquire eBay?$84.67May 14, 19:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$9.74May 14, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GameStop acquire eBay?$762.05May 14, 19:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$837.45May 14, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GameStop acquire eBay?$4.51May 14, 19:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$9.74May 14, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GameStop acquire eBay?$1.7KMay 14, 19:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$1.7KMay 14, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$94.79May 14, 18:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$97.38May 14, 18:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $1.6K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 11:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".