Incompatible-Bike
0x3ca32afb4bd1f831799edfeae02642189f849546
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
24
Open notional
$532.58
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$-279.17
Win rate
9%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- NO
Will Charles McCall win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?
170 shares @ 73.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$147.05
$22.95
- NO
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?
372 shares @ 20.0¢·now 34.6¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$128.67
$54.27
- YES
Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?
458 shares @ 25.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$125.95
$11.45
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
156 shares @ 72.0¢·now 74.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$115.44
$3.12
- YES
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
115 shares @ 15.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.22
$-4.03
- NO
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
5 shares @ 80.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$2.23
$-1.77
- YES
Will Progressive Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
5 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.01
$-0.21
- UNDER
US Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018: O/U 3.5
932 shares @ 76.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-713.91
- IPSWICH TOWN FC
Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)
740 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-125.80
- BLACKBURN BEAVERS
Blackburn Beavers vs. Eastern Illinois Panthers
472 shares @ 35.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-165.67
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$17.25Apr 24, 05:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?$263.68Apr 21, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018: O/U 3.5$713.91Apr 13, 18:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$0.53Apr 13, 07:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 160m and 170m?$2.00Apr 13, 07:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hezbollah disarm by March 31?$155.00Apr 13, 07:37 UTC
- REDEEMMicrostrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?$386.00Apr 13, 07:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?$60.03Apr 12, 20:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?$375.82Apr 11, 18:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Ras Tanura by April 30?$256.65Apr 11, 16:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Ras Tanura by April 30?$271.15Apr 11, 16:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Ras Tanura by April 30?$251.43Apr 11, 16:53 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?$31.98Apr 11, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?$380.19Apr 10, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?$114.50Apr 10, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Ras Tanura by April 30?$352.21Apr 10, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Ras Tanura by April 30?$352.56Apr 10, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Ras Tanura by April 30?$338.13Apr 10, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Ras Tanura by April 30?$5.03Apr 10, 01:19 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?$197.60Apr 10, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $317.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 01:58 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 24, 05:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".