Cheerful-Glance
0x3ca84ffbbb4e97dc77bbd9cc763f47aa6b8aec49
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$941.16
Total PnL
$-35.90
Realised
$-1.19
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
643 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$643.48
$0.64
- YES
Genius FDV above $20M one day after launch?
132 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$132.00
$2.15
- NO
Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
73 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$73.04
$-0.22
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?
43 shares @ 92.9¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$39.83
$-0.17
- YES
Genius FDV above $50M one day after launch?
21 shares @ 94.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$21.14
$1.23
- NO
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?
20 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.2¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$19.93
$-0.07
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?
13 shares @ 75.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$11.73
$1.73
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
42 shares @ 96.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$642.84Apr 8, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYGenius FDV above $50M one day after launch?$20.00Apr 8, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYGenius FDV above $20M one day after launch?$130.00Apr 8, 07:39 UTC
- TRADESELLPuffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?$4.90Apr 8, 07:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$787.94Apr 8, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$789.53Apr 2, 02:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$43.04Apr 2, 02:16 UTC
- REDEEMEdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?$56.12Apr 2, 02:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meituan have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$73.21Apr 2, 02:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$80.69Apr 2, 02:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$536.47Apr 2, 02:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$1.4KMar 27, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$534.86Mar 25, 01:52 UTC
- REDEEMBackpack FDV above $4B one day after launch?$21.26Mar 25, 01:51 UTC
- REDEEMBackpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?$33.33Mar 25, 01:51 UTC
- REDEEMBackpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?$303.95Mar 25, 01:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$52.18Mar 24, 02:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$124.14Mar 24, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$1.4KMar 14, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBackpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?$300.00Mar 14, 02:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $675.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 24, 17:59 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 8, 07:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".