Plump-Start
0x3cb1a3631e49257e311d40051066ab074c765e96
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$5.4K
Total PnL
$252.53
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
752 shares @ 86.5¢·now 97.2¢·exp May 19, 2026$730.80
$80.80
- NO
Will Amy McGrath be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky?
715 shares @ 91.0¢·now 94.8¢·exp May 19, 2026$677.13
$27.13
- NO
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
706 shares @ 85.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$667.06
$67.06
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
642 shares @ 90.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$594.06
$16.06
- YES
Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?
713 shares @ 86.9¢·now 82.5¢·exp May 25, 2026$587.98
$-31.31
- YES
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?
662 shares @ 90.6¢·now 86.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$572.92
$-27.08
- YES
Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?
589 shares @ 84.9¢·now 95.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$560.01
$60.01
- NO
Iran leadership change by May 31?
568 shares @ 88.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$531.25
$31.25
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
556 shares @ 90.0¢·now 95.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$528.61
$28.61
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump’s approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on May 15, 2026?$418.12May 16, 14:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 15?$654.82May 16, 09:20 UTC
- REDEEMJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?$345.17May 16, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$578.00May 15, 18:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 15, 2026?$578.41May 15, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?$622.54May 14, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amy McGrath be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky?$652.35May 14, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$653.52May 14, 13:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Marco Rubio attend Trump’s Xi summit?$539.02May 14, 05:14 UTC
- TRADESELLInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Rafael Jodar vs Luciano Darderi$120.18May 13, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Rafael Jodar vs Luciano Darderi$101.47May 13, 20:59 UTC
- TRADESELLKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$841.35May 13, 18:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zachary Shrewsbury be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?$529.41May 13, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on May 15, 2026?$402.62May 12, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Rubio attend Trump’s Xi summit?$501.45May 12, 14:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Reform UK win at least 2200 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$668.37May 11, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$603.60May 11, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?$602.82May 11, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?$503.03May 11, 13:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?$752.69May 10, 23:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $542.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 27, 12:07 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 14:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".