Complex-Outlaw
0x3cd3c2db27126cc6dfdcc32feeb280dcbb48603f
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$48.98
Total PnL
$-47.57
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
42 shares @ 36.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$26.46
$11.46
- YES
Kash Patel out by June 30?
19 shares @ 37.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.15
$-0.85
- YES
Trump out as President by June 30?
333 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.50
$-1.50
- YES
Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration before 2027?
7 shares @ 57.0¢·now 55.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.86
$-0.14
- YES
Will Trump say "Trump-Class" or "Trump Fleet" in May?
6 shares @ 79.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.75
$-2.25
- YES
Kash Patel out by May 31?
21 shares @ 33.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.91
$-5.09
- YES
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
11 shares @ 46.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.71
$-3.20
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?
10 shares @ 47.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.30
$-3.59
- YES
James Comey charges dropped by May 31?
15 shares @ 13.0¢·now 1.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.20
$-1.80
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
7 shares @ 41.0¢·now 1.9¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.14
$-2.86
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$3.07May 14, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "TikTok" during events with Xi Jinping?$2.06May 14, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by June 30?$6.18May 13, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 12, 7PM ET$4.16May 12, 23:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$4.30May 12, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$4.02May 12, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Trump-Class" or "Trump Fleet" in May?$5.04May 12, 19:55 UTC
- REDEEMIsraeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?$8.77May 12, 19:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$0.00May 10, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$1.03May 10, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration before 2027?$4.07May 10, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYKash Patel out by June 30?$7.18May 10, 03:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$12.82May 10, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$5.02May 5, 20:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 1?$3.13May 3, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYJames Comey charges dropped by May 31?$2.00May 1, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 1?$2.05Apr 30, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?$1.04Apr 30, 07:14 UTC
- REDEEMJames Comey arrested by April 29?$6.67Apr 29, 23:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 29?$0.00Apr 29, 19:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $5.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 05:25 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 23:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".