Insistent-Understatement
0x3d02ea57e7d160223d35b23ec43ae052e411de52
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$49.14
Total PnL
$-27.99
Realised
$-5.63
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
17 shares @ 58.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.09
$0.09
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
16 shares @ 64.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$9.92
$-0.08
- YES
Will Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
35 shares @ 18.0¢·now 25.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$8.68
$2.43
- YES
Will Starmer say "Oil" or "Gas" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
16 shares @ 64.0¢·now 34.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$5.31
$-4.69
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
24 shares @ 41.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.54
$-6.46
- YES
Will Starmer say "Shadow Secretary" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
29 shares @ 4.4¢·now 9.5¢·exp May 6, 2026$2.71
$1.46
- YES
Kash Patel out by May 31?
23 shares @ 22.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.27
$-2.73
- YES
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
32 shares @ 3.1¢·now 5.3¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$1.69
$0.69
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
5 shares @ 21.8¢·now 24.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.14
$0.14
- YES
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
26 shares @ 3.8¢·now 4.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.12
$0.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?$2.07May 15, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.04May 15, 07:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Starmer say "Shadow Secretary" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$5.77May 15, 07:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$10.88May 15, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$10.13May 8, 15:48 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$0.00May 7, 06:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$0.00May 7, 06:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$0.00May 7, 06:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$0.00May 7, 06:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$0.00May 7, 06:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$0.00May 7, 06:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$0.00May 7, 06:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$0.00May 7, 06:12 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$0.00May 7, 06:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$0.00May 7, 06:12 UTC
- REDEEMUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?$0.00May 7, 06:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$0.00May 7, 06:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?$0.00May 7, 06:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$0.00May 7, 06:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?$0.00May 7, 06:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $7.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 17, 04:46 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 07:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".