Raw-Quiver
0x3d29cd03fdb7a9cafc64fe190f1f55aa01c85033
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$130.67
Total PnL
$-159.17
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
1408 shares @ 2.6¢·now 3.5¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$49.84
$13.55
- YES
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
413 shares @ 9.7¢·now 11.3¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$46.85
$6.85
- YES
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
429 shares @ 7.0¢·now 5.3¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$22.50
$-7.50
- YES
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
270 shares @ 9.3¢·now 4.3¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$11.47
$-13.52
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
643 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-70.00
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
375 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
222 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-9.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
40 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-13.61
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
16 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-4.94
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$13.78Mar 23, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$5.00Mar 23, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$5.00Mar 23, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$5.00Mar 23, 09:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.00Mar 19, 08:31 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Spirit vs B8 - Map 2 Winner$0.00Mar 19, 08:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.00Mar 19, 08:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?$0.00Mar 19, 08:31 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Spirit vs B8 - Map 1 Winner$0.00Mar 19, 08:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$40.00Mar 19, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Spirit vs B8 - Map 2 Winner$25.00Mar 7, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Spirit vs B8 - Map 1 Winner$3.00Mar 7, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$10.00Mar 6, 12:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$0.00Mar 4, 10:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$0.00Mar 4, 10:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$0.00Mar 4, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?$1.00Mar 3, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$60.00Mar 3, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$60.00Mar 3, 14:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?$63.64Mar 3, 05:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $30.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 17, 08:06 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 23, 10:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".