Live-Fraud
0x3d4b7358ce83a32251e618fa29aa8f00e1cf3d98
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$41.68
Total PnL
$0.14
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
15 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$14.57
$0.02
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
14 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$13.67
$0.12
- NO
Will Mona Juul be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
13 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$13.43
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$13.55Apr 20, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$14.55Mar 28, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mona Juul be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$13.44Mar 28, 09:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft (MSFT) close above $450 end of February?$12.42Mar 16, 12:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta (META) close above $820 end of February?$13.11Mar 16, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta (META) close above $820 end of February?$13.10Feb 26, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) close above $450 end of February?$12.38Feb 26, 21:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill PUSC win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?$13.55Feb 24, 11:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix (NFLX) close above $200 end of January?$14.67Feb 24, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix (NFLX) close above $200 end of January?$14.66Jan 26, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PUSC win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?$13.54Jan 26, 12:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill SER hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$3.21Jan 23, 10:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mario Rivera Callejas win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$3.75Jan 23, 10:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jorge Nelson Ávila Gutiérrez win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$4.99Jan 23, 10:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix reach $333 in December?$12.94Jan 23, 10:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix reach $490 in December?$14.35Jan 23, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix reach $490 in December?$14.32Dec 18, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix reach $333 in December?$12.88Dec 18, 13:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$3.08Dec 8, 12:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?$3.29Dec 8, 12:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $7.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 1, 08:44 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 20, 23:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".