Variable-Verification
0x3d5ac278c3d5d239c560ae80e6aa3ddda9384c29
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$5.0K
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$1.4K
Win rate
93%
91 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?
220 shares @ 96.4¢·now 97.1¢·exp May 22, 2026$213.26
$1.54
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 19?
175 shares @ 93.1¢·now 93.8¢·exp May 19, 2026$164.57
$1.18
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
159 shares @ 83.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 22, 2026$158.38
$26.72
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
158 shares @ 89.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$158.19
$15.90
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
159 shares @ 82.7¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 22, 2026$158.18
$27.01
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
158 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$157.47
$0.24
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
158 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$157.47
$0.24
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
158 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$157.47
$0.24
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
158 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$157.47
$0.39
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
158 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 22, 2026$157.31
$0.08
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$157.79May 18, 05:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill GamerLegion win IEM Atlanta 2026?$36.97May 18, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 23?$0.02May 18, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?$9.64May 18, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?$9.64May 18, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?$9.64May 18, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?$9.64May 18, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?$4.74May 18, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?$6.08May 18, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?$1.52May 18, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?$7.60May 18, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?$7.62May 18, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?$7.63May 18, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?$6.58May 18, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 20?$1.20May 18, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 20?$0.03May 18, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21?$9.38May 18, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21?$9.38May 18, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21?$9.38May 18, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21?$9.38May 18, 01:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $4.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 01:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 91 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".