Serpentine-Merchant
0x3d70670e169d7630a0a324dc01d030c650a4e9b0
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$631.64
Total PnL
$-574.41
Realised
$8.33
Win rate
71%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
40 shares @ 97.8¢·now 98.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$39.26
$0.14
- NO
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
25 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.3¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$24.81
$0.04
- NO
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
25 shares @ 99.1¢·now 98.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$24.64
$-0.14
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?
25 shares @ 94.6¢·now 94.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$23.66
$0.01
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?
20 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$19.89
$0.01
- NO
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?
20 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.4¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$19.87
$-0.01
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?
20 shares @ 98.2¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$19.81
$0.17
- NO
Will Mark Zuckerberg be richest person on December 31?
20 shares @ 98.5¢·now 98.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.76
$0.06
- NO
Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 93.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$19.10
$0.50
- NO
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
20 shares @ 94.5¢·now 93.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$18.71
$-0.19
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?$3.90May 18, 11:58 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?$5.00May 17, 23:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?$5.00May 17, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$8.19May 17, 15:26 UTC
- TRADESELLCavaliers vs. Pistons$6.23May 17, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons$3.23May 17, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons$3.23May 17, 14:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$8.10May 17, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?$14.25May 17, 13:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?$6.51May 17, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$11.07May 17, 13:46 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$7.12May 17, 13:45 UTC
- TRADESELLStripe IPO before 2027?$8.86May 17, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?$2.29May 17, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?$2.84May 17, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-17?$3.18May 17, 13:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-16?$5.00May 17, 03:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill CA Mineiro win on 2026-05-16?$5.00May 17, 03:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-05-16?$5.00May 17, 02:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $7.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 22:09 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 11:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".