Classic-Molar
0x3d8891a8dacc3b38748372fb2a51d92f57ec39d8
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$117.28
Total PnL
$-97.00
Realised
$23.71
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Christopher Luxon out by September 30?
154 shares @ 39.6¢·now 31.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$47.75
$-13.25
- NO
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
118 shares @ 21.3¢·now 15.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.64
$-7.36
- YES
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
189 shares @ 13.2¢·now 8.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.91
$-9.09
- YES
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?
789 shares @ 3.8¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$13.82
$-16.18
- YES
Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?
179 shares @ 2.8¢·now 2.9¢·exp May 22, 2026$5.09
$0.09
- NO
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?
19 shares @ 26.6¢·now 23.4¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$4.40
$-0.60
- YES
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?
83 shares @ 3.6¢·now 3.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.17
$0.17
- YES
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country?
219 shares @ 0.9¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.84
$0.84
- YES
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
129 shares @ 1.5¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.65
$0.65
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
236 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.24
$-2.76
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?$5.19May 18, 06:58 UTC
- TRADESELLNo-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?$27.50May 18, 06:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 13?$0.00May 18, 05:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on May 13?$0.00May 18, 05:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 14?$0.00May 18, 05:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 17?$0.00May 18, 05:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 17?$13.33May 18, 03:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on May 16?$0.00May 17, 17:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?$0.00May 17, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?$1.04May 17, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 19?$1.03May 17, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 19?$1.04May 17, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 19?$5.14May 17, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 19?$5.21May 17, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?$1.00May 17, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 17?$1.05May 17, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?$1.05May 16, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 18?$5.13May 16, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?$5.15May 16, 03:56 UTC
- REDEEMConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$0.00May 16, 03:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $6.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 10:01 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".