Late-Tool-Appeal
0x3dbd3300c29669f607bdf9f50db750070f441939
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$59.55
Total PnL
$-17.05
Realised
$0.19
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
17 shares @ 86.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.78
$0.78
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
18 shares @ 56.7¢·now 70.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.34
$2.34
- NO
Will The Democrats win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
10 shares @ 99.2¢·now 98.6¢·exp Oct 27, 2026$9.94
$-0.06
- NO
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
6 shares @ 99.9¢·now 87.5¢·exp Oct 27, 2026$5.32
$-0.76
- NO
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 58.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.20
$1.54
- NO
Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?
6 shares @ 79.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.09
$0.09
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
5 shares @ 98.0¢·now 97.9¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$4.99
$-0.01
- YES
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
2 shares @ 39.0¢·now 49.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.89
$0.18
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
25 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
6 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$1.96May 18, 10:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$2.97May 17, 04:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Switzerland come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026?$5.00May 17, 03:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bulgaria come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026?$5.58May 17, 02:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Luxembourg come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?$5.01May 17, 02:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Belgium come in last place at Eurovision 2026?$5.00May 17, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Malta come in last place at Eurovision 2026?$5.01May 17, 02:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Italy be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$5.01May 17, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Malta come in last place at Eurovision 2026?$5.05May 16, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium come in last place at Eurovision 2026?$5.05May 16, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$5.05May 16, 22:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$3.37May 16, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$5.08May 16, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026?$5.08May 16, 21:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$4.88May 16, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$5.13May 16, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$5.05May 16, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$5.06May 16, 20:06 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 24?$3.44May 16, 14:47 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 21?$3.40May 16, 09:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $1.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 10:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".