Determined-Bubble
0x3de2a278f9c0ffb7f5ed983d2daafe90187bde5f
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$32.10
Total PnL
$-930.85
Realised
$2.24
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Negative GDP growth in 2026?
267 shares @ 24.4¢·now 7.2¢·exp Jan 29, 2027$19.37
$-45.87
- YES
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
44 shares @ 68.3¢·now 29.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.73
$-17.27
- NO
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
3300 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-29.29
- MAVERICKS
Mavericks vs. Pelicans
637 shares @ 64.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-411.83
- BLACKHAWKS
Blackhawks vs. Maple Leafs
252 shares @ 87.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025$0.00
$-221.25
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
217 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- WEBER STATE WILDCATS
Portland State Vikings vs. Weber State Wildcats
130 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-75.40
- YES
Will Max Verstappen leave Red Bull before 2026?
124 shares @ 48.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?
60 shares @ 22.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-13.68
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
20 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-16.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNegative GDP growth in 2026?$15.24Mar 8, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYNegative GDP growth in 2026?$50.00Mar 2, 01:13 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?$40.00Feb 28, 12:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?$5.00Feb 27, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?$30.00Feb 25, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple release a new product line before 2027?$30.00Feb 23, 03:48 UTC
- SPLITWill Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?$5.00Feb 9, 03:40 UTC
- TRADESELLSeahawks vs. Patriots$71.43Feb 9, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeahawks vs. Patriots$100.00Feb 9, 01:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mastercard (MA) beat quarterly earnings?$108.00Jan 29, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mastercard (MA) beat quarterly earnings?$102.60Jan 29, 10:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill American Airlines (AAL) beat quarterly earnings?$0.00Jan 29, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$10.00Jan 22, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?$4.56Jan 22, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?$4.56Jan 22, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?$4.56Jan 22, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$19.29Jan 22, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill American Airlines (AAL) beat quarterly earnings?$53.90Jan 21, 21:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$49.64Jan 13, 21:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$25.46Jan 13, 09:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $30.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 5, 19:35 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 8, 23:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".