Scholarly-Chive
0x3dfd418f1869e6ccf6156d04d31a7b03281d7284
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$191.69
Total PnL
$-431.34
Realised
$-3.32
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- NO
Will Citizens’ Party be part of the next Government of Denmark?
193 shares @ 88.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$191.69
$21.56
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on March 6?
353 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-14.46
- SAMSUNSPOR
Spread: Samsunspor (-1.5)
308 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-83.16
- OVER
UC Sampdoria vs. Venezia FC: O/U 3.5
304 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-79.04
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on March 5?
243 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-10.94
- YES
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of January 12 above $265?
210 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-4.83
- YES
Will Nicki Minaj release a new song in 2025?
210 shares @ 24.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-51.81
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on February 20?
175 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.92
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on December 22?
171 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-13.34
- YES
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $4.00-$5.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Dec 8 – Dec 12?
167 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-8.67
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Citizens’ Party be part of the next Government of Denmark?$170.13Mar 20, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google (GOOGL) close at $290-$295 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?$18.18Mar 13, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) close at $395-$400 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?$16.49Mar 13, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Samsunspor (-1.5)$83.16Mar 12, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUC Sampdoria vs. Venezia FC: O/U 3.5$79.04Mar 11, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.60 on March 5?$10.94Mar 2, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on March 6?$14.46Feb 28, 16:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $100 on February 16?$186.89Feb 22, 20:47 UTC
- REDEEMPeter Attia out by February 15?$124.81Feb 22, 04:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Emily Watson win Best Supporting Actress at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?$3.54Feb 20, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Marty Supreme" win Best Director at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?$2.21Feb 18, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$2.87Feb 17, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on February 21?$11.73Feb 17, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.00 on February 20?$1.92Feb 17, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $70 on February 20?$4.80Feb 17, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jason Anavitarte win the GA-14 special election?$2.42Feb 15, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYPeter Attia out by February 15?$120.69Feb 15, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Natus Vincere win Blast Slam VI? $41.89Feb 15, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $100 on February 16?$178.29Feb 15, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total number of TSA passengers for February 9 - 15 be between 14,500,000 and 15,000,000?$3.15Feb 14, 23:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $44.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 20, 11:43 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 20, 06:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".